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Primordial Forces Shape Nigerian Politics Over Ideology — Dr. Pogu

Nabila by Nabila
April 18, 2026 | 14:13
in politics
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The Challenges of Political Change in Nigeria

The question of whether now is the right time for revolutionary change in Nigeria is a pressing one. Some argue that without such a transformation, nothing meaningful will ever happen. However, the Nigerian mindset may not yet be ready for true revolution. Many people are more focused on their personal interests, moving with the tide as long as their immediate needs are met. This approach reflects a lack of maturity in political thinking and a tendency to prioritize short-term gains over long-term development.

In this context, politics often revolves around bread-and-butter issues rather than broader national goals. People can be easily swayed by material incentives, such as bags of rice, while ignoring the real challenges facing the country. This kind of politics undermines the potential for meaningful progress and nation-building.

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The Role of Primordial Factors in Nigerian Politics

Looking at current political propositions, it seems that ideology has taken a backseat. Political players are more concerned with their ability to distribute money than with manifestos or party constitutions. In the North, religion has become a tool for political manipulation, with voters expected to align along religious lines. Similarly, in other regions, ethnicity plays a significant role, with individuals being accepted based on their group affiliation rather than their qualifications or actions.

These primordial factors—money, religion, and ethnicity—govern much of Nigerian politics, leading to a system that prioritizes self-interest over collective well-being. As a result, the country remains mired in the same problems that have persisted for decades.

Electoral System and Political Alignments

The current electoral system in Nigeria is weak, making it difficult for opposition candidates to challenge the ruling party. Even if someone wants to unseat the president, the chances of success are slim under the existing framework. The National Assembly also functions more like a rubber stamp, endorsing decisions without critical scrutiny.

At the state level, the situation is similar, with electoral bodies lacking independence. Governors often control the outcome of elections, leading to a cycle where people continue to align with the ruling party due to the perceived benefits.

The Need for Institutional Reform

For meaningful change to occur, strong institutions must be built. These systems should ensure free and fair elections, eliminate opportunities for manipulation, and protect the integrity of the voting process. Until Nigerians are willing to make sacrifices to defend their votes, the current system will remain unchanged.

The Emergence of New Political Blocs

New political alignments and opposition blocs, such as the ADC, have emerged in recent years. However, these groups often consist of the same politicians who were part of previous governments. They simply move from one party to another when they feel their interests are no longer served. This pattern suggests that there is still no fundamental change in the political landscape.

The Way Forward

The path to transformation lies in rethinking the current approach. Those in power must reflect on the need for change and commit to building inclusive institutions that serve all Nigerians. A Nigeria where even the son of nobody can rise through merit, regardless of wealth or background, is a vision worth pursuing.

Addressing Allegations of Political Persecution

Allegations of political persecution against opposition figures must be addressed objectively. If individuals have committed offenses, they should be held accountable according to the law. Claims of political bias should not be used to shield wrongdoing. At the same time, it is important to ensure that individuals are not targeted solely because of their political affiliations.

Confronting Insecurity in the North

Insecurity in the North has been a persistent issue, with many questioning why there are no strong condemnations from within the region. The solution lies in courage from leadership, including the willingness to name and confront those responsible for violence and crime. Intelligence agencies have information, but action must follow. Protecting criminals and neglecting victims only perpetuates the cycle of violence.

Rehabilitation of Bandits

Rehabilitation of repentant bandits is a complex issue. Many who are said to be rehabilitated often return to criminal activities, suggesting that the system is too lenient. Without decisive consequences for crimes, insecurity will continue. Justice must be prioritized over protection of offenders to achieve lasting peace.


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